Business profile & competitive position
Copart, Inc. is classified under the Industrials sector, specifically the Specialty Business Services industry. That placement is important: the company is not a traditional manufacturer, but a services provider whose economics are closer to a platform or intermediary. The financial evidence backs this up. Copart's 33.5% net margin is unusually high for an industrial business, and its 16.6% ROE shows that management is producing solid returns on book equity. A net margin above 30% generally signals pricing power, scale advantages, or some form of network effect that lets the company capture value without absorbing heavy commodity costs. A 16.6% ROE is comfortably above a typical cost of equity, which is consistent with durable competitive advantages rather than a cyclical boom. The beta of 1.02 tells the same story: the stock tracks the broader market closely, a profile typical of an established services firm rather than a highly cyclical industrial. Taken together, the margin, ROE, and beta figures imply a business model built on structure and scale rather than short-term market tailwinds.
Financial posture
At a market capitalization of $27.5 billion and a P/E of 18.3, Copart carries a large-cap services valuation. The 18.3 P/E is not extreme by broad-market standards, but it also is not cheap when set against the company's 5-for-8 beat rate and a modest 2% average earnings surprise. The 33.5% net margin supports the multiple by showing that profit conversion remains strong, while the 16.6% ROE reinforces that those returns are not being driven by a highly leveraged balance sheet. A beta of 1.02 means macro shocks and broad-market sentiment matter almost exactly as much as Copart-specific developments. Valuation, therefore, appears to reflect a quality compounder priced for continued execution. The margin cushion is real, yet the multiple leaves only a thin margin for error if growth or profitability begins to slip.
Macro & geopolitical exposure
Specialty Business Services firms in the Industrials sector serve commercial and industrial clients, making revenue sensitive to capital-expenditure budgets, insurance-claims volumes, and broader industrial activity. Their pricing power faces pressure when customers rein in spending. Interest-rate policy is a first-order driver: higher rates make financing vehicles, equipment, and operating assets more expensive, and they can reduce transaction frequency that generates fee revenue. Regulation around licensing, data handling, environmental disposal, or title processing affects compliance costs. Cross-border operations expose the business to tariffs on equipment and parts as well as currency translation, while weather-related events can create bursts of demand for insurance-linked services. These are sector-level dynamics rather than company-specific forecasts, but they help explain why a stock with a 1.02 beta still exhibits pronounced swings around macro and earnings events.
Recent developments
Recent headlines show a mix of insider activity, relative weakness, and institutional accumulation. On August 7, 2026, fool.com reported that Copart CEO Jeffrey Liaw sold 27,745 shares for approximately $846,000. Insider sales are not automatically bearish, but the headline has drawn attention because of its size and timing ahead of the next quarterly report. Two days earlier, on August 5, 2026, zacks.com noted that Copart suffered a larger drop than the general market, suggesting equity-specific selling pressure has recently outweighed the stock's beta-1.02 tendency to mirror the index. On the other side of the ledger, defenseworld.net reported on August 3, 2026, that Empowered Funds LLC increased its Copart stake, and on July 31, 2026, seekingalpha.com highlighted Madison Mid Cap Fund's Q2 2026 portfolio activity. At the current price of $29.66, the stock sits just below its 50-day EMA of $29.76, with an RSI of 54.1 suggesting near-neutral momentum. The net message is not a single consensus, but active repositioning by both insiders and institutions while the next earnings date approaches.
Earnings behavior & post-earnings drift
Copart's earnings record over the last eight quarters is statistically respectable, yet the stock's post-report price behavior has been weak. The company has beaten the official consensus in 5 of the last 8 quarters, or 71% of the time, with an average earnings surprise of 2%. Despite that, the average 5-day price move following earnings across those quarters is -3.29%, classified as a downward drift. That disconnect is the most important lesson for traders: in this stock, a beat has not reliably translated into a sustained rally.
The last four reported quarters make the point clearly. On May 21, 2026, Copart posted EPS of $0.43 against a $0.4063 estimate, a 5.8% surprise, yet the stock fell 1.77% the next day and 4.74% over the following five sessions. On November 20, 2025, a 5.2% beat—$0.41 versus $0.3897—was followed by a 0.71% next-day drop and a 4.97% five-day drop. Even the largest recent beat, on September 4, 2025, when EPS of $0.41 beat the $0.3613 estimate by 13.5%, produced a 2.8% next-day decline and a 2.14% five-day decline. The only miss in the group, February 19, 2026, saw EPS of $0.36 miss the $0.3925 estimate by 8.3%, sending the stock down 3.11% the next day and 1.33% over the next five days.
Looking ahead, Copart is scheduled to report on September 3, 2026 after the close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.39. Investors should keep in mind that the unofficial consensus—the market's real expectation—may already be steeper than the printed estimate, leaving the stock exposed to the same post-earnings drift that has followed even solid beats.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why does Copart stock fall after beating EPS estimates?
Over the last eight quarters, the average 5-day post-earnings drift is -3.29%, and even recent beats were met with selling. For example, Copart's 5.8% beat on May 21, 2026 was followed by a 4.74% five-day decline, suggesting the market frequently prices in results before they are reported.
What is Copart's current earnings beat rate?
Copart has beaten the consensus in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters, a 71% beat rate, with an average earnings surprise of 2%.
When is Copart's next earnings report?
Copart is scheduled to report earnings on September 3, 2026, after the market close. The current consensus EPS estimate is $0.39.
For a deeper dive into how Wall Street currently views Copart, including institutional conviction levels and the full range of analyst models, readers can explore the complete institutional verdict on the ticker page.
| Reported | Actual | Estimate | Surprise | 1D Move | 5D Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | $0.43 | $0.4063 | +5.8% | -1.77% | -4.74% |
| 2026-02-19 | $0.36 | $0.3925 | -8.3% | -3.11% | -1.33% |
| 2025-11-20 | $0.41 | $0.3897 | +5.2% | -0.71% | -4.97% |
| 2025-09-04 | $0.41 | $0.3613 | +13.5% | -2.8% | -2.14% |
| 2025-05-22 | $0.42 | $0.4167 | +0.8% | - | - |
| 2025-02-20 | $0.4 | $0.3717 | +7.6% | - | - |
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